What is true

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20 May 2026

"Maria and Peter are students and meet up for a late dinner. Peter asks Maria whether Tom is at the party that they intend to go to after dinner. Maria answers that Tom is at the party. After all, Tom had told her that he would be at the party. When they arrive at the party, it turns out that Tom had changed his plans, and is not at the party. Was Maria's answer true or false?"

Think for a moment, and answer for yourself before reading on.

A new study shows that there is much, much less agreement on the answer to this question than I would have expected. Even after reading about the study, I still expect my friends to have the same answer as I do. Let's see. But this probably means that the meaning of truth, in the general population, is simply different from what I would have assumed. And explains a number of public discourses.

by Ronald Bailey in Reason]


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